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KC logo

Kansas City Chiefs

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
144922nd
Point Diff / Game
+4.58th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0788th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN
L
10-26
-16
-3
L
-50
2
DEN logo
DEN@
L
17-24
-7
+13
W
5
3
MIA logo
MIA@
W
34-15
+19
+5.5
W
13
4
NE logo
NE
W
41-14
+27
+3
W
19
5
SF logo
SF@
L
17-22
-5
+4.5
L
4
6BYE WEEK
7
LAC logo
LAC@
W
23-20
+3
+3
W
11
8
LAR logo
LAR
W
34-07
+27
-7
W
13
9
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
24-10
+14
-8.5
W
21
10
BUF logo
BUF@
W
17-13
+4
+1.5
W
9
11
SEA logo
SEA
W
24-20
+4
0
12
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-24
-4
-7
L
-10
13
DEN logo
DEN
L
16-29
-13
-16
14
ARI logo
ARI@
L
14-17
-3
-2.5
L
1
15
OAK logo
OAK
W
31-13
+18
-11
W
25
16
PIT logo
PIT@
L
12-20
-8
+2.5
L
-122
17
LAC logo
LAC
W
19-07
+12
-3
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
4th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
23rd
Sack EPA
-4.44
22nd
Turnover EPA
-3.32
32nd
Point Differential
+4.5
8th
Points For
22.1
15th
Points Against
17.6
2nd
Total Yards
318.8
25th
Passing Yards
182.3
24th
Rushing Yards
119.9
11th
Total Yards Allowed
330.6
8th
Passing Allowed
203.4
20th
Rushing Allowed
127.3
28th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
42%
21st
Red Zone
58%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
5th
4th Down
38%
8th
Red Zone
39%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
4th
Created
0.8
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
1st
Created
0.4
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
22nd
Created
0.4
25th