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Los Angeles Chargers

AFC West

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1610
Week 22, 2024
Best nfelo
1658
Week 16, 2010
Worst nfelo
1400
Week 14, 2020

Season History

2024
11-7
PF: 23.0 |PA: 18.5
nfelo: 1624
Rank #8
2023
5-12
PF: 20.4 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1405
Rank #28
2022
10-8
PF: 23.4 |PA: 23.1
nfelo: 1523
Rank #8
2021
9-8
PF: 27.9 |PA: 27.0
nfelo: 1581
Rank #11
2020
7-9
PF: 24.0 |PA: 26.6
nfelo: 1436
Rank #24
2019
5-11
PF: 21.1 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1472
Rank #19
2018
13-5
PF: 26.6 |PA: 21.5
nfelo: 1611
Rank #7
2017
9-7
PF: 22.2 |PA: 17.0
nfelo: 1565
Rank #8
2016
5-11
PF: 25.6 |PA: 26.4
nfelo: 1471
Rank #21
2015
4-12
PF: 20.0 |PA: 24.9
nfelo: 1425
Rank #23
2014
9-7
PF: 21.8 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1514
Rank #17
2013
10-8
PF: 24.4 |PA: 21.2
nfelo: 1559
Rank #10
2012
7-9
PF: 21.9 |PA: 21.9
nfelo: 1487
Rank #18
2011
8-8
PF: 25.4 |PA: 23.6
nfelo: 1570
Rank #11
2010
9-7
PF: 27.6 |PA: 20.1
nfelo: 1649
Rank #3
2009
13-4
PF: 27.5 |PA: 19.8
nfelo: 1553
Rank #14
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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