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  4. 2009
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2009 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-4
nfelo Rating
155214th
Point Diff / Game
+7.74th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1364th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK@
W
24-20
+4
-10.5
L
-6
2
BAL logo
BAL
L
26-31
-5
-23
3
MIA logo
MIA
W
23-13
+10
-5
W
3
4
PIT logo
PIT@
L
28-38
-10
+5.5
L
-13
5BYE WEEK
6
DEN logo
DEN
L
23-34
-11
-3.5
L
-14
7
KC logo
KC@
W
37-07
+30
-5.5
W
36
8
OAK logo
OAK
W
24-16
+8
-16
L
-9
9
NYG logo
NYG@
W
21-20
+1
+5
W
9
10
PHI logo
PHI
W
31-23
+8
-1
W
10
11
DEN logo
DEN@
W
32-03
+29
-6.5
W
37
12
KC logo
KC
W
43-14
+29
-13
W
15
13
CLE logo
CLE@
W
30-23
+7
-13.5
L
1
14
DAL logo
DAL@
W
20-17
+3
+3.5
W
4
15
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
-27
16
TEN logo
TEN@
W
42-17
+25
+1.5
W
15
17
WAS logo
WAS
W
23-20
+3
-3
P
-64
18BYE WEEK
19
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
14-17
-3
-9
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.17
1st
EPA / Pass
+0.31
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.13
28th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.05
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
20th
Sack EPA
-2.70
7th
Turnover EPA
-3.51
32nd
Point Differential
+7.7
4th
Points For
27.5
4th
Points Against
19.8
10th
Total Yards
359.1
10th
Passing Yards
228.0
4th
Rushing Yards
87.3
31st
Total Yards Allowed
323.2
12th
Passing Allowed
202.4
26th
Rushing Allowed
120.8
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
7th
4th Down
50%
13th
Red Zone
55%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
22nd
4th Down
52%
20th
Red Zone
53%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
1st
Created
1.6
17th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
6th
Created
0.9
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
3rd
Created
0.7
14th