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  4. 2010
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
16483rd
Point Diff / Game
+7.44th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1364th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC@
L
14-21
-7
-4
L
-10
2
JAX logo
JAX
W
38-13
+25
-7
W
17
3
SEA logo
SEA@
L
20-27
-7
-3.5
L
-10
4
ARI logo
ARI
W
41-10
+31
-10
W
44
5
OAK logo
OAK@
L
27-35
-8
-7
L
-7
6
LAR logo
LAR@
L
17-20
-3
-8.5
L
-21
7
NE logo
NE
L
20-23
-3
-2.5
L
-5
8
TEN logo
TEN
W
33-25
+8
-5.5
W
34
9
HOU logo
HOU@
W
29-23
+6
-3
W
34
10BYE WEEK
11
DEN logo
DEN
W
35-14
+21
-9
W
12
12
IND logo
IND@
W
36-14
+22
+2
W
12
13
OAK logo
OAK
L
13-28
-15
-13
L
-19
14
KC logo
KC
W
31-00
+31
-10
W
37
15
SF logo
SF
W
34-07
+27
-10
W
33
16
CIN logo
CIN@
L
20-34
-14
-8
L
-14
17
DEN logo
DEN@
W
33-28
+5
-5.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.28
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.11
20th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
8th
Sack EPA
-4.20
23rd
Turnover EPA
-7.38
14th
Point Differential
+7.4
4th
Points For
27.6
2nd
Points Against
20.1
9th
Total Yards
395.8
1st
Passing Yards
282.6
1st
Rushing Yards
113.3
14th
Total Yards Allowed
270.9
1st
Passing Allowed
141.3
2nd
Rushing Allowed
93.8
4th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
4th
4th Down
38%
25th
Red Zone
56%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
4th
4th Down
43%
11th
Red Zone
61%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
16th
Created
1.5
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
11th
Created
1.0
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
28th
Created
0.5
28th