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  4. 2011
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
156911th
Point Diff / Game
+1.811th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02014th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN
W
24-17
+7
-9
L
-9
2
NE logo
NE@
L
21-35
-14
+6.5
L
-3
3
KC logo
KC
W
20-17
+3
-14
L
-17
4
MIA logo
MIA
W
26-16
+10
-6.5
W
6
5
DEN logo
DEN@
W
29-24
+5
-3.5
W
-10
6BYE WEEK
7
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
21-27
-6
-1
L
-11
8
KC logo
KC@
L
20-23
-3
-3
L
-15
9
GB logo
GB
L
38-45
-7
+6
L
-0
10
OAK logo
OAK
L
17-24
-7
-7
L
-18
11
CHI logo
CHI@
L
20-31
-11
+4.5
L
-6
12
DEN logo
DEN
L
13-16
-3
-4.5
L
-22
13
JAX logo
JAX@
W
38-14
+24
-3
W
25
14
BUF logo
BUF
W
37-10
+27
-7
W
16
15
BAL logo
BAL
W
34-14
+20
+1
W
18
16
DET logo
DET@
L
10-38
-28
-1
L
-17
17
OAK logo
OAK@
W
38-26
+12
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.10
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.18
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
12th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.08
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
23rd
Sack EPA
-3.14
8th
Turnover EPA
-7.99
7th
Point Differential
+1.8
11th
Points For
25.4
5th
Points Against
23.6
23rd
Total Yards
393.3
6th
Passing Yards
185.9
16th
Rushing Yards
116.5
16th
Total Yards Allowed
346.9
16th
Passing Allowed
173.4
10th
Rushing Allowed
122.4
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
49%
2nd
4th Down
36%
20th
Red Zone
54%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
49%
32nd
4th Down
11%
2nd
Red Zone
58%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
21st
Created
1.3
21st

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
25th
Created
1.1
15th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
12th
Created
0.3
31st