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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
151317th
Point Diff / Game
0.016th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00717th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI@
L
17-18
-1
+3
W
-5
2
SEA logo
SEA
W
30-21
+9
+5
W
19
3
BUF logo
BUF@
W
22-10
+12
+2.5
W
14
4
JAX logo
JAX
W
33-14
+19
-12.5
W
12
5
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
31-00
+31
-7
W
10
6
OAK logo
OAK@
W
31-28
+3
-7.5
L
-3
7
KC logo
KC
L
20-23
-3
-3
L
-19
8
DEN logo
DEN@
L
21-35
-14
+9
L
-22
9
MIA logo
MIA@
L
00-37
-37
+3
L
-37
10BYE WEEK
11
OAK logo
OAK
W
13-06
+7
-10
L
-9
12
LAR logo
LAR
W
27-24
+3
-5
L
-3
13
BAL logo
BAL@
W
34-33
+1
+6.5
W
18
14
NE logo
NE
L
14-23
-9
+4
L
-44
15
DEN logo
DEN
L
10-22
-12
+4.5
L
-12
16
SF logo
SF@
W
38-35
+3
+1.5
W
25
17
KC logo
KC@
L
07-19
-12
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
27th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.05
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.10
11th
Sack EPA
-3.83
15th
Turnover EPA
-5.50
23rd
Point Differential
--
16th
Points For
21.8
17th
Points Against
21.8
12th
Total Yards
341.6
19th
Passing Yards
226.8
8th
Rushing Yards
85.4
30th
Total Yards Allowed
338.3
10th
Passing Allowed
145.3
1st
Rushing Allowed
124.1
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
5th
4th Down
45%
19th
Red Zone
53%
15th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
24th
4th Down
20%
3rd
Red Zone
52%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
11th
Created
1.2
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
26th
Created
0.4
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
2nd
Created
0.8
6th