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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2015 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
142423rd
Point Diff / Game
-4.927th
Net EPA / Play
-0.08727th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET
W
33-28
+5
-3.5
W
14
2
CIN logo
CIN@
L
19-24
-5
+3.5
L
4
3
MIN logo
MIN@
L
14-31
-17
+2
L
-16
4
CLE logo
CLE
W
30-27
+3
-5
L
-8
5
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-24
-4
-4
L
-13
6
GB logo
GB@
L
20-27
-7
+10.5
W
18
7
OAK logo
OAK
L
29-37
-8
-3.5
L
-9
8
BAL logo
BAL@
L
26-29
-3
+4.5
W
18
9
CHI logo
CHI
L
19-22
-3
-3.5
L
-38
10BYE WEEK
11
KC logo
KC
L
03-33
-30
+3
L
-27
12
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-25
+6
+5
W
14
13
DEN logo
DEN
L
03-17
-14
+6
L
-40
14
KC logo
KC@
L
03-10
-7
+12
W
-6
15
MIA logo
MIA
W
30-14
+16
-1
W
13
16
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-23
-3
+4
W
1
17
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-27
-7
+10
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.19
31st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
29th
Sack EPA
-4.36
21st
Turnover EPA
-6.51
15th
Point Differential
-4.9
27th
Points For
20.0
25th
Points Against
24.9
21st
Total Yards
372.1
7th
Passing Yards
287.2
1st
Rushing Yards
84.9
30th
Total Yards Allowed
362.3
21st
Passing Allowed
215.9
17th
Rushing Allowed
125.4
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
8th
4th Down
33%
29th
Red Zone
64%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
13th
4th Down
88%
32nd
Red Zone
50%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
17th
Created
1.3
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
16th
Created
0.7
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
21st
Created
0.6
15th