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LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
147417th
Point Diff / Game
-3.119th
Net EPA / Play
-0.08828th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA
W
34-31
+3
+3.5
W
13
2
WAS logo
WAS@
L
10-24
-14
-3
L
-18
3
PIT logo
PIT
L
06-12
-6
-1
L
-20
4
ARI logo
ARI@
W
24-22
+2
+7
W
11
5
GB logo
GB@
L
10-24
-14
+9
L
-24
6BYE WEEK
7
CLE logo
CLE
W
24-06
+18
-6
W
4
8
SF logo
SF
W
27-06
+21
-8
W
15
9
MIN logo
MIN@
L
18-21
-3
+1.5
L
1
10
CHI logo
CHI
L
13-37
-24
-7
L
-73
11
BAL logo
BAL@
L
13-16
-3
+3
P
62
12
CIN logo
CIN@
L
07-31
-24
+9.5
L
-22
13
ARI logo
ARI
L
03-27
-24
+3.5
L
-61
14
DET logo
DET
W
21-14
+7
+3
W
7
15
TB logo
TB
W
31-23
+8
-1
W
11
16
SEA logo
SEA@
W
23-17
+6
+11
W
33
17
SF logo
SF@
L
16-19
-3
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.18
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.20
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.14
24th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.10
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
5th
Sack EPA
-2.32
1st
Turnover EPA
-5.52
21st
Point Differential
-3.1
19th
Points For
17.5
29th
Points Against
20.6
12th
Total Yards
297.7
32nd
Passing Yards
133.4
32nd
Rushing Yards
122.3
7th
Total Yards Allowed
368.1
23rd
Passing Allowed
216.6
18th
Rushing Allowed
114.0
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
26%
32nd
4th Down
31%
31st
Red Zone
53%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
6th
4th Down
27%
3rd
Red Zone
42%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
12th
Created
1.6
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
10th
Created
0.8
17th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
15th
Created
0.8
5th