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Miami Dolphins

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
148817th
Point Diff / Game
-1.820th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03220th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU@
L
10-30
-20
+13
L
-68
2
OAK logo
OAK
W
35-13
+22
+1.5
W
17
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
20-23
-3
+2.5
L
-6
4
ARI logo
ARI@
L
21-24
-3
+4
W
15
5
CIN logo
CIN@
W
17-13
+4
+3
W
28
6
LAR logo
LAR
W
17-14
+3
-5.5
L
-23
7BYE WEEK
8
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
30-09
+21
+1
W
6
9
IND logo
IND@
L
20-23
-3
-2.5
L
-0
10
TEN logo
TEN
L
03-37
-34
-7
L
-23
11
BUF logo
BUF@
L
14-19
-5
+2.5
L
-12
12
SEA logo
SEA
W
24-21
+3
+3
W
17
13
NE logo
NE
L
16-23
-7
+7.5
W
-0
14
SF logo
SF@
L
13-27
-14
+11
L
2
15
JAX logo
JAX
W
24-03
+21
-7.5
W
21
16
BUF logo
BUF
W
24-10
+14
-5
W
15
17
NE logo
NE@
L
00-28
-28
+11.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.07
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
19th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
15th
Sack EPA
-3.76
19th
Turnover EPA
-6.84
11th
Point Differential
-1.8
20th
Points For
18.0
27th
Points Against
19.8
7th
Total Yards
311.8
27th
Passing Yards
186.9
19th
Rushing Yards
112.6
17th
Total Yards Allowed
356.9
20th
Passing Allowed
225.2
29th
Rushing Allowed
108.4
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
17th
4th Down
33%
27th
Red Zone
55%
11th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
9th
4th Down
71%
28th
Red Zone
43%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
13th
Created
1.1
28th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
10th
Created
0.6
27th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
19th
Created
0.5
22nd