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Miami Dolphins

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-6
nfelo Rating
151314th
Point Diff / Game
+4.110th
Net EPA / Play
+0.08310th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE@
L
11-21
-10
+7
L
-9
2
BUF logo
BUF
L
28-31
-3
+5.5
W
15
3
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-13
+18
+2.5
W
22
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
23-31
-8
+4.5
L
4
5
SF logo
SF@
W
43-17
+26
+8
W
22
6
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
24-00
+24
-9
W
-62
7BYE WEEK
8
LAR logo
LAR
W
28-17
+11
+3.5
W
46
9
ARI logo
ARI@
W
34-31
+3
+6
W
17
10
LAC logo
LAC
W
29-21
+8
-1.5
W
44
11
DEN logo
DEN@
L
13-20
-7
-4
L
81
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
20-03
+17
-7.5
W
-84
13
CIN logo
CIN
W
19-07
+12
-10
W
23
14
KC logo
KC
L
27-33
-6
+7
W
9
15
NE logo
NE
W
22-12
+10
+1
W
14
16
OAK logo
OAK@
W
26-25
+1
-2.5
L
-2
17
BUF logo
BUF@
L
26-56
-30
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
25th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
5th
EPA / Pass
-0.09
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.00
17th
Sack EPA
-3.40
10th
Turnover EPA
-5.68
16th
Point Differential
+4.1
10th
Points For
25.3
15th
Points Against
21.1
4th
Total Yards
339.5
23rd
Passing Yards
204.8
17th
Rushing Yards
105.6
21st
Total Yards Allowed
367.9
19th
Passing Allowed
234.6
28th
Rushing Allowed
116.4
16th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
26th
4th Down
80%
2nd
Red Zone
58%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
31%
1st
4th Down
46%
9th
Red Zone
56%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
15th
Created
1.8
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
1.1
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
12th
Created
0.7
3rd