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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-13
nfelo Rating
141128th
Point Diff / Game
-6.828th
Net EPA / Play
-0.11828th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC@
L
17-24
-7
+9
W
5
2
TB logo
TB
L
20-24
-4
-1
L
-19
3
DET logo
DET
L
23-26
-3
+3
P
1
4
KC logo
KC@
L
17-22
-5
-3
L
2
5
ARI logo
ARI
W
34-10
+24
-3.5
W
11
6
CHI logo
CHI@
L
10-39
-29
+2.5
L
6
7
GB logo
GB
L
27-33
-6
+10
W
-0
8
CAR logo
CAR@
W
24-21
+3
+3
W
6
9BYE WEEK
10
GB logo
GB@
L
07-45
-38
+13
L
-41
11
OAK logo
OAK
L
21-27
-6
-2
L
-10
12
ATL logo
ATL@
L
14-24
-10
+10
P
-8
13
DEN logo
DEN
L
32-35
-3
+1
L
-18
14
DET logo
DET@
L
28-34
-6
+10
W
-8
15
NO logo
NO
L
20-42
-22
+7
L
-15
16
WAS logo
WAS@
W
33-26
+7
+6
W
13
17
CHI logo
CHI
L
13-17
-4
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
20th
EPA / Pass
-0.16
29th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.19
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.12
7th
Sack EPA
-4.66
23rd
Turnover EPA
-6.31
15th
Point Differential
-6.8
28th
Points For
21.3
18th
Points Against
28.1
31st
Total Yards
329.7
18th
Passing Yards
184.8
17th
Rushing Yards
144.9
4th
Total Yards Allowed
358.3
20th
Passing Allowed
225.4
26th
Rushing Allowed
107.1
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
14th
4th Down
39%
17th
Red Zone
56%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
29th
4th Down
56%
26th
Red Zone
52%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
23rd
Created
1.3
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
21st
Created
0.5
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
24th
Created
0.8
4th