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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
151315th
Point Diff / Game
+1.313th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03211th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN@
W
25-16
+9
-2.5
W
51
2
GB logo
GB
W
17-14
+3
+2
W
-3
3
CAR logo
CAR@
W
22-10
+12
+6.5
W
8
4
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-10
+14
-4
W
7
5
HOU logo
HOU
W
31-13
+18
-6
W
13
6BYE WEEK
7
PHI logo
PHI@
L
10-21
-11
-3
L
-23
8
CHI logo
CHI@
L
10-20
-10
-5.5
L
-22
9
DET logo
DET
L
16-22
-6
-5.5
L
-7
10
WAS logo
WAS@
L
20-26
-6
+2.5
L
-3
11
ARI logo
ARI
W
30-24
+6
-2
W
-0
12
DET logo
DET@
L
13-16
-3
+1.5
L
-26
13
DAL logo
DAL
L
15-17
-2
+3
W
-4
14
JAX logo
JAX@
W
25-16
+9
-3.5
W
26
15
IND logo
IND
L
06-34
-28
-5
L
-19
16
GB logo
GB@
L
25-38
-13
+6.5
L
-24
17
CHI logo
CHI
W
38-10
+28
-6.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.07
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.07
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.26
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.10
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.14
7th
Sack EPA
-5.05
29th
Turnover EPA
-3.45
29th
Point Differential
+1.3
13th
Points For
20.4
23rd
Points Against
19.2
5th
Total Yards
315.2
28th
Passing Yards
160.8
30th
Rushing Yards
75.4
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
315.0
3rd
Passing Allowed
167.4
4th
Rushing Allowed
107.1
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
17th
4th Down
44%
22nd
Red Zone
46%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
21%
2nd
Red Zone
53%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
5th
Created
1.7
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
2nd
Created
0.9
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.8
2nd