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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-9
nfelo Rating
150717th
Point Diff / Game
-0.118th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00918th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN@
L
24-27
-3
-3
L
-3
2
ARI logo
ARI@
L
33-34
-1
+3.5
W
11
3
SEA logo
SEA
W
30-17
+13
+2
W
22
4
CLE logo
CLE
L
07-14
-7
-38
5
DET logo
DET
W
19-17
+2
-10
L
-7
6
CAR logo
CAR@
W
34-28
+6
-2
W
46
7BYE WEEK
8
DAL logo
DAL
L
16-20
-4
-4.5
L
-51
9
BAL logo
BAL@
L
31-34
-3
+7
W
13
10
LAC logo
LAC@
W
27-20
+7
+3.5
W
9
11
GB logo
GB
W
34-31
+3
+1
W
23
12
SF logo
SF@
L
26-34
-8
+4
L
-11
13
DET logo
DET@
L
27-29
-2
-7
L
-7
14
PIT logo
PIT
W
36-28
+8
-3.5
W
-1
15
CHI logo
CHI@
W
17-09
+8
-7
W
-4
16
LAR logo
LAR
L
23-30
-7
+3.5
L
-134
17
GB logo
GB@
L
10-37
-27
+7
L
122
18
CHI logo
CHI
W
31-17
+14
-3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
26th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
6th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
30th
Sack EPA
-3.59
11th
Turnover EPA
-3.50
30th
Point Differential
-0.1
18th
Points For
25.0
13th
Points Against
25.1
24th
Total Yards
362.9
10th
Passing Yards
203.6
15th
Rushing Yards
113.6
17th
Total Yards Allowed
384.2
30th
Passing Allowed
223.9
24th
Rushing Allowed
130.7
26th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
26th
4th Down
55%
15th
Red Zone
62%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
4th
4th Down
50%
11th
Red Zone
56%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
3rd
Created
1.4
15th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
2nd
Created
0.9
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.4
18th