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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-5
nfelo Rating
148515th
Point Diff / Game
-0.614th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03121st

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
GB logo
GB
W
23-07
+16
-2
W
31
2
PHI logo
PHI@
L
07-24
-17
+3
L
-29
3
DET logo
DET
W
28-24
+4
-6.5
L
5
4
NO logo
NO@
W
28-25
+3
-4
L
-2
5
CHI logo
CHI
W
29-22
+7
-8.5
L
4
6
MIA logo
MIA@
W
24-16
+8
-3
W
-2
7BYE WEEK
8
ARI logo
ARI
W
34-26
+8
-4
W
5
9
WAS logo
WAS@
W
20-17
+3
-3
P
-3
10
BUF logo
BUF@
W
33-30
+3
+7
W
17
11
DAL logo
DAL
L
03-40
-37
+1.5
L
-32
12
NE logo
NE
W
33-26
+7
-2.5
W
19
13
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
27-22
+5
-2.5
W
-5
14
DET logo
DET@
L
23-34
-11
+1.5
L
-29
15
IND logo
IND
W
39-36
+3
-3.5
L
-3
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-24
+3
-4.5
L
-2
17
GB logo
GB@
L
17-41
-24
+3
L
-18
18
CHI logo
CHI@
W
29-13
+16
-6
W
11
19
NYG logo
NYG
L
24-31
-7
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
28th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
27th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
24th
Sack EPA
-5.13
27th
Turnover EPA
-5.71
10th
Point Differential
-0.6
14th
Points For
24.9
8th
Points Against
25.4
30th
Total Yards
360.2
5th
Passing Yards
230.5
3rd
Rushing Yards
95.7
29th
Total Yards Allowed
391.3
31st
Passing Allowed
216.3
26th
Rushing Allowed
124.2
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
11th
4th Down
48%
22nd
Red Zone
63%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
42%
6th
Red Zone
58%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
20th
Created
1.3
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
21st
Created
0.8
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
18th
Created
0.4
24th