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  4. 2010
NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
15958th
Point Diff / Game
+4.27th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0677th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN
W
14-09
+5
-5.5
L
7
2
SF logo
SF@
W
25-22
+3
-4.5
L
-3
3
ATL logo
ATL
L
24-27
-3
-3
L
-6
4
CAR logo
CAR
W
16-14
+2
-12.5
L
-11
5
ARI logo
ARI@
L
20-30
-10
-7
L
-20
6
TB logo
TB@
W
31-06
+25
-5.5
W
30
7
CLE logo
CLE
L
17-30
-13
-12.5
L
-26
8
PIT logo
PIT
W
20-10
+10
-1.5
W
18
9
CAR logo
CAR@
W
34-03
+31
-6.5
W
21
10BYE WEEK
11
SEA logo
SEA
W
34-19
+15
-11
W
7
12
DAL logo
DAL@
W
30-27
+3
-4.5
L
-3
13
CIN logo
CIN@
W
34-30
+4
-6.5
L
2
14
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-13
+18
-9.5
W
3
15
BAL logo
BAL@
L
24-30
-6
+1.5
L
-6
16
ATL logo
ATL@
W
17-14
+3
+2.5
W
3
17
TB logo
TB
L
13-23
-10
-7
L
-28
18
SEA logo
SEA@
L
36-41
-5
-9.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
13th
Sack EPA
-2.62
5th
Turnover EPA
-7.48
13th
Point Differential
+4.2
7th
Points For
24.7
8th
Points Against
20.5
10th
Total Yards
378.5
5th
Passing Yards
246.6
2nd
Rushing Yards
93.9
28th
Total Yards Allowed
312.9
9th
Passing Allowed
160.5
5th
Rushing Allowed
114.5
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
49%
1st
4th Down
42%
19th
Red Zone
51%
19th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
7th
4th Down
65%
28th
Red Zone
46%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
25th
Created
1.4
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
26th
Created
0.6
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
20th
Created
0.8
6th