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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
154213th
Point Diff / Game
-1.420th
Net EPA / Play
-0.04123rd

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL@
L
34-37
-3
-3
L
-9
2
CLE logo
CLE@
L
24-26
-2
-5
L
-11
3
MIN logo
MIN
W
20-09
+11
-10
W
15
4
DAL logo
DAL@
L
17-38
-21
-3
L
-11
5
TB logo
TB
W
37-31
+6
-11
L
-12
6BYE WEEK
7
DET logo
DET@
L
23-24
-1
+1.5
W
-9
8
GB logo
GB
W
44-23
+21
-2
W
38
9
CAR logo
CAR@
W
28-10
+18
-3
W
5
10
SF logo
SF
L
24-27
-3
-5.5
L
-20
11
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-27
-17
-8.5
L
-9
12
BAL logo
BAL
L
27-34
-7
-3
L
-5
13
PIT logo
PIT@
W
35-32
+3
+3.5
W
13
14
CAR logo
CAR
L
10-41
-31
-9
L
-45
15
CHI logo
CHI@
W
31-15
+16
-3.5
W
22
16
ATL logo
ATL
L
14-30
-16
-6
L
-25
17
TB logo
TB@
W
23-20
+3
-6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
7th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.10
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.15
30th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
32nd
Sack EPA
-3.94
18th
Turnover EPA
-8.67
4th
Point Differential
-1.4
20th
Points For
25.1
10th
Points Against
26.5
28th
Total Yards
411.4
1st
Passing Yards
237.8
5th
Rushing Yards
113.6
13th
Total Yards Allowed
384.4
31st
Passing Allowed
217.3
25th
Rushing Allowed
132.8
29th

Conversions For

3rd Down
48%
1st
4th Down
53%
13th
Red Zone
60%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
46%
31st
4th Down
50%
19th
Red Zone
63%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
27th
Created
1.1
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
25th
Created
0.8
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
28th
Created
0.3
30th