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NYG logo

New York Giants

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
153112th
Point Diff / Game
+0.120th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01322nd

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL@
W
20-19
+1
17
2
NO logo
NO
W
16-13
+3
-4
L
-1
3
WAS logo
WAS
L
27-29
-2
-3.5
L
-10
4
MIN logo
MIN@
L
10-24
-14
+4
L
-8
5
GB logo
GB@
L
16-23
-7
+7
P
4
6
BAL logo
BAL
W
27-23
+4
-3.5
W
11
7
LAR logo
LAR@
W
17-10
+7
-3
W
12
8BYE WEEK
9
PHI logo
PHI
W
28-23
+5
-3
W
4
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
21-20
+1
11
11
CHI logo
CHI
W
22-16
+6
-7
L
-11
12
CLE logo
CLE@
W
27-13
+14
-6.5
W
24
13
PIT logo
PIT@
L
14-24
-10
+6.5
L
-11
14
DAL logo
DAL
W
10-07
+3
+3.5
W
-5
15
DET logo
DET
W
17-06
+11
-4
W
12
16
PHI logo
PHI@
L
19-24
-5
+1
L
-5
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
19-10
+9
+9
W
6
18
GB logo
GB@
L
13-38
-25
+5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
29th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.18
2nd
Sack EPA
-3.51
11th
Turnover EPA
-6.41
14th
Point Differential
+0.1
20th
Points For
19.0
27th
Points Against
18.9
4th
Total Yards
332.7
23rd
Passing Yards
184.4
24th
Rushing Yards
87.2
29th
Total Yards Allowed
343.6
13th
Passing Allowed
201.9
15th
Rushing Allowed
87.8
2nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
28th
4th Down
50%
14th
Red Zone
52%
19th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
3rd
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
43%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
24th
Created
1.5
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
21st
Created
1.0
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
23rd
Created
0.5
19th