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NYG logo

New York Giants

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-13
nfelo Rating
126931st
Point Diff / Game
-9.329th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16529th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN
L
13-27
-14
+3
L
-37
2
WAS logo
WAS@
L
29-30
-1
+4
W
7
3
ATL logo
ATL
L
14-17
-3
-2.5
L
-8
4
NO logo
NO@
W
27-21
+6
+7.5
W
39
5
DAL logo
DAL@
L
20-44
-24
+7
L
-25
6
LAR logo
LAR
L
11-38
-27
+7.5
L
-34
7
CAR logo
CAR
W
25-03
+22
+3
W
14
8
KC logo
KC@
L
17-20
-3
+10.5
W
12
9
OAK logo
OAK
W
23-16
+7
+3
W
5
10BYE WEEK
11
TB logo
TB@
L
10-30
-20
+11
L
-15
12
PHI logo
PHI
W
13-07
+6
+4
W
14
13
MIA logo
MIA@
L
09-20
-11
+6
L
-27
14
LAC logo
LAC@
L
21-37
-16
+9
L
-10
15
DAL logo
DAL
L
06-21
-15
+12
L
-80
16
PHI logo
PHI@
L
10-34
-24
+11
L
45
17
CHI logo
CHI@
L
03-29
-26
+6
L
-74
18
WAS logo
WAS
L
07-22
-15
+6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.16
31st
EPA / Pass
-0.23
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.08
24th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
19th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
28th
Sack EPA
-5.04
26th
Turnover EPA
-7.90
2nd
Point Differential
-9.3
29th
Points For
15.2
31st
Points Against
24.5
23rd
Total Yards
287.8
31st
Passing Yards
147.2
32nd
Rushing Yards
99.6
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
354.8
21st
Passing Allowed
212.0
17th
Rushing Allowed
129.0
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
24th
4th Down
43%
26th
Red Zone
45%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
65%
29th
Red Zone
52%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
32nd
Created
1.3
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
29th
Created
0.9
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
25th
Created
0.4
18th