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  4. 2025
NYG logo

New York Giants

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-13
nfelo Rating
142921st
Point Diff / Game
-3.422nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.05722nd

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
L
06-21
-15
+6
L
-15
2
DAL logo
DAL@
L
37-40
-3
+4.5
W
16
3
KC logo
KC
L
09-22
-13
+6
L
-86
4
LAC logo
LAC
W
21-18
+3
+6
W
21
5
NO logo
NO@
L
14-26
-12
+2.5
L
-2
6
PHI logo
PHI
W
34-17
+17
+7.5
W
49
7
DEN logo
DEN@
L
32-33
-1
+8
W
33
8
PHI logo
PHI@
L
20-38
-18
+7.5
L
-9
9
SF logo
SF
L
24-34
-10
+2.5
L
-14
10
CHI logo
CHI@
L
20-24
-4
+4.5
W
8
11
GB logo
GB
L
20-27
-7
+7.5
W
-11
12
DET logo
DET@
L
27-34
-7
+14
W
24
13
NE logo
NE@
L
15-33
-18
+7
L
-11
14BYE WEEK
15
WAS logo
WAS
L
21-29
-8
-2.5
L
-9
16
MIN logo
MIN
L
13-16
-3
+2.5
L
-28
17
OAK logo
OAK@
W
34-10
+24
-3
W
68
18
DAL logo
DAL
W
34-17
+17
+3
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.03
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
18th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.09
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
17th
EPA / Rush
+0.13
32nd
Sack EPA
-4.13
20th
Turnover EPA
-4.21
23rd
Point Differential
-3.4
22nd
Points For
22.4
16th
Points Against
25.8
26th
Total Yards
333.8
13th
Passing Yards
204.6
8th
Rushing Yards
129.2
6th
Total Yards Allowed
360.0
27th
Passing Allowed
178.9
18th
Rushing Allowed
145.4
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
15th
4th Down
46%
25th
Red Zone
47%
27th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
13th
4th Down
73%
29th
Red Zone
63%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
9th
Created
0.9
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
9th
Created
0.5
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
12th
Created
0.4
23rd