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  4. 2025
NYG logo

New York Giants

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-11
nfelo Rating
140225th
Point Diff / Game
-6.826th
Net EPA / Play
-0.11025th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
L
06-21
-15
+6
L
-15
2
DAL logo
DAL@
L
37-40
-3
+4.5
W
18
3
KC logo
KC
L
09-22
-13
+6
L
-83
4
LAC logo
LAC
W
21-18
+3
+6
W
21
5
NO logo
NO@
L
14-26
-12
+2.5
L
-2
6
PHI logo
PHI
W
34-17
+17
+7.5
W
44
7
DEN logo
DEN@
L
32-33
-1
+8
W
33
8
PHI logo
PHI@
L
20-38
-18
+7.5
L
-9
9
SF logo
SF
L
24-34
-10
+2.5
L
-11
10
CHI logo
CHI@
L
20-24
-4
+4.5
W
8
11
GB logo
GB
L
20-27
-7
+7.5
W
-8
12
DET logo
DET@
L
27-34
-7
+14
W
24
13
NE logo
NE@
L
15-33
-18
+7
L
-11
14BYE WEEK
15
WAS logo
WAS
12/14
-
-2.5
-
-
16
MIN logo
MIN
12/21
-
-
-
17
OAK logo
OAK@
12/28
-
-
-
18
DAL logo
DAL
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.03
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
17th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
13th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.14
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
24th
EPA / Rush
+0.18
32nd
Sack EPA
-4.13
21st
Turnover EPA
-4.59
23rd
Point Differential
-6.8
26th
Points For
21.5
23rd
Points Against
28.2
30th
Total Yards
340.4
14th
Passing Yards
216.8
4th
Rushing Yards
123.6
13th
Total Yards Allowed
386.4
31st
Passing Allowed
196.3
23rd
Rushing Allowed
154.4
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
11th
4th Down
45%
25th
Red Zone
48%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
21st
4th Down
71%
29th
Red Zone
66%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
11th
Created
0.5
31st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
11th
Created
0.4
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.2
29th