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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
155512th
Point Diff / Game
+0.915th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01115th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
W
27-24
+3
-6.5
L
-3
2
JAX logo
JAX
W
32-03
+29
-9
W
11
3
OAK logo
OAK@
L
24-34
-10
-2.5
L
-4
4
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-34
-17
+5
L
-34
5
NE logo
NE@
L
21-30
-9
+7.5
L
-2
6
MIA logo
MIA
W
24-06
+18
-7
W
19
7
LAC logo
LAC
W
27-21
+6
+1
W
7
8BYE WEEK
9
BUF logo
BUF@
W
27-11
+16
+2.5
W
11
10
NE logo
NE
L
16-37
-21
-2.5
L
-17
11
DEN logo
DEN@
L
13-17
-4
-6.5
L
-12
12
BUF logo
BUF
W
28-24
+4
-9.5
L
-2
13
WAS logo
WAS@
W
34-19
+15
-3
W
12
14
KC logo
KC
W
37-10
+27
-10.5
W
14
15
PHI logo
PHI@
L
19-45
-26
+3
L
-25
16
NYG logo
NYG
L
14-29
-15
-3
L
-43
17
MIA logo
MIA@
L
17-19
-2
+2
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
21st
EPA / Pass
-0.13
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
13th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
8th
EPA / Pass
-0.09
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
5th
Sack EPA
-4.70
25th
Turnover EPA
-9.66
2nd
Point Differential
+0.9
15th
Points For
23.6
12th
Points Against
22.7
19th
Total Yards
311.8
26th
Passing Yards
184.5
18th
Rushing Yards
105.8
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
312.2
4th
Passing Allowed
168.5
7th
Rushing Allowed
111.2
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
22nd
4th Down
36%
20th
Red Zone
61%
4th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
2nd
4th Down
10%
1st
Red Zone
48%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
29th
Created
2.1
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
23rd
Created
1.2
9th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
29th
Created
0.9
2nd