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  4. 2023
NYJ logo

New York Jets

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
141225th
Point Diff / Game
-5.127th
Net EPA / Play
-0.10527th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF
W
22-16
+6
+2.5
W
-99
2
DAL logo
DAL@
L
10-30
-20
+8
L
-13
3
NE logo
NE
L
10-15
-5
+2.5
L
-5
4
KC logo
KC
L
20-23
-3
+8
W
18
5
DEN logo
DEN@
W
31-21
+10
+2
W
37
6
PHI logo
PHI
W
20-14
+6
+6.5
W
6
7BYE WEEK
8
NYG logo
NYG@
W
13-10
+3
-3
P
4
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
06-27
-21
+3
L
-20
10
OAK logo
OAK@
L
12-16
-4
-1
L
6
11
BUF logo
BUF@
L
06-32
-26
+8.5
L
-8
12
MIA logo
MIA
L
13-34
-21
+9.5
L
-56
13
ATL logo
ATL
L
08-13
-5
+2
L
-11
14
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-06
+24
+3
W
24
15
MIA logo
MIA@
L
00-30
-30
+7
L
11
16
WAS logo
WAS
W
30-28
+2
-3
L
-3
17
CLE logo
CLE@
L
20-37
-17
+7
L
-1
18
NE logo
NE@
W
17-03
+14
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.24
31st
EPA / Pass
-0.33
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.18
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.14
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.17
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.10
7th
Sack EPA
-7.29
31st
Turnover EPA
-8.60
3rd
Point Differential
-5.1
27th
Points For
15.8
29th
Points Against
20.9
10th
Total Yards
268.9
31st
Passing Yards
159.1
30th
Rushing Yards
97.1
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
292.5
2nd
Passing Allowed
156.5
4th
Rushing Allowed
124.2
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
26%
32nd
4th Down
59%
8th
Red Zone
32%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
12th
4th Down
44%
5th
Red Zone
49%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
30th
Created
1.6
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
22nd
Created
1.0
5th

Fumbles

Lost
1.1
32nd
Created
0.6
13th