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  4. 2025
NYJ logo

New York Jets

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-10
nfelo Rating
131331st
Point Diff / Game
-7.228th
Net EPA / Play
-0.14529th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT
L
32-34
-2
+3
W
10
2
BUF logo
BUF
L
10-30
-20
+5.5
L
-55
3
TB logo
TB@
L
27-29
-2
+6.5
W
49
4
MIA logo
MIA@
L
21-27
-6
+2.5
L
7
5
DAL logo
DAL
L
22-37
-15
-1.5
L
-11
6
DEN logo
DEN
L
11-13
-2
+7
W
-16
7
CAR logo
CAR
L
06-13
-7
-1.5
L
-33
8
CIN logo
CIN@
W
39-38
+1
+5.5
W
13
9BYE WEEK
10
CLE logo
CLE
W
27-20
+7
+2
W
-5
11
NE logo
NE@
L
14-27
-13
+12.5
L
-39
12
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-23
-13
+13.5
W
-0
13
ATL logo
ATL
W
27-24
+3
+3
W
15
14
MIA logo
MIA
L
10-34
-24
+2.5
L
-57
15
JAX logo
JAX@
12/14
-
+12
-
-
16
NO logo
NO@
12/21
-
-
-
17
NE logo
NE
12/28
-
-
-
18
BUF logo
BUF@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.12
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.14
28th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
28th
Sack EPA
-5.34
27th
Turnover EPA
-5.20
17th
Point Differential
-7.2
28th
Points For
19.7
25th
Points Against
26.8
27th
Total Yards
274.3
29th
Passing Yards
126.4
31st
Rushing Yards
128.7
7th
Total Yards Allowed
329.6
17th
Passing Allowed
176.5
13th
Rushing Allowed
139.5
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
27th
4th Down
48%
21st
Red Zone
48%
28th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
5th
4th Down
77%
32nd
Red Zone
63%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
23rd
Created
0.1
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
11th
Created
--
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
31st
Created
0.1
32nd