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  4. 2009
OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2009 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
132028th
Point Diff / Game
-11.430th
Net EPA / Play
-0.20130th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC
L
20-24
-4
+10.5
W
-2
2
KC logo
KC@
W
13-10
+3
+3
W
-3
3
DEN logo
DEN
L
03-23
-20
+2.5
L
-34
4
HOU logo
HOU@
L
06-29
-23
+8.5
L
-16
5
NYG logo
NYG@
L
07-44
-37
+15.5
L
-14
6
PHI logo
PHI
W
13-09
+4
+14.5
W
14
7
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
00-38
-38
+6
L
-69
8
LAC logo
LAC@
L
16-24
-8
+16
W
2
9BYE WEEK
10
KC logo
KC
L
10-16
-6
-2.5
L
5
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
20-17
+3
+8.5
W
13
12
DAL logo
DAL@
L
07-24
-17
+13.5
L
3
13
PIT logo
PIT@
W
27-24
+3
+15
W
42
14
WAS logo
WAS
L
13-34
-21
+2
L
-44
15
DEN logo
DEN@
W
20-19
+1
+14
W
12
16
CLE logo
CLE@
L
09-23
-14
+3
L
-12
17
BAL logo
BAL
L
13-21
-8
+10
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.13
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.31
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.12
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
25th
Sack EPA
-5.33
32nd
Turnover EPA
-7.33
11th
Point Differential
-11.4
30th
Points For
12.3
31st
Points Against
23.7
23rd
Total Yards
266.1
31st
Passing Yards
148.4
26th
Rushing Yards
106.3
21st
Total Yards Allowed
361.9
25th
Passing Allowed
180.2
15th
Rushing Allowed
155.5
29th

Conversions For

3rd Down
30%
30th
4th Down
48%
18th
Red Zone
41%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
7th
4th Down
64%
28th
Red Zone
48%
10th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.3
31st
Created
1.1
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
22nd
Created
0.5
31st

Fumbles

Lost
1.1
32nd
Created
0.6
23rd