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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2013 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
15709th
Point Diff / Game
+3.410th
Net EPA / Play
+0.05610th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
W
33-27
+6
+4
W
30
2
LAC logo
LAC
L
30-33
-3
-7.5
L
5
3
KC logo
KC
L
16-26
-10
-3
L
-25
4
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-52
-32
+10.5
L
-13
5
NYG logo
NYG@
W
36-21
+15
-1.5
W
-33
6
TB logo
TB@
W
31-20
+11
-3
W
84
7
DAL logo
DAL
L
03-17
-14
-3
L
50
8
NYG logo
NYG
L
07-15
-8
-5.5
L
-80
9
OAK logo
OAK@
W
49-20
+29
+1
W
39
10
GB logo
GB@
W
27-13
+14
-1
W
52
11
WAS logo
WAS
W
24-16
+8
-4.5
W
10
12BYE WEEK
13
ARI logo
ARI
W
24-21
+3
-3.5
L
-22
14
DET logo
DET
W
34-20
+14
-2.5
W
9
15
MIN logo
MIN@
L
30-48
-18
-7
L
-4
16
CHI logo
CHI
W
54-11
+43
-3
W
20
17
DAL logo
DAL@
W
24-22
+2
-7.5
L
-7
18
NO logo
NO
L
24-26
-2
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.09
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
5th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.07
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
9th
Sack EPA
-4.85
25th
Turnover EPA
-4.90
23rd
Point Differential
+3.4
10th
Points For
27.4
6th
Points Against
24.0
18th
Total Yards
407.6
2nd
Passing Yards
241.2
4th
Rushing Yards
155.8
1st
Total Yards Allowed
396.8
30th
Passing Allowed
257.6
31st
Rushing Allowed
109.1
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
14th
4th Down
56%
11th
Red Zone
53%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
24th
4th Down
40%
11th
Red Zone
51%
12th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
3rd
Created
2.0
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
3rd
Created
1.2
6th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
12th
Created
0.8
3rd