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  4. 2025
PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
15729th
Point Diff / Game
+2.810th
Net EPA / Play
+0.05410th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
W
24-20
+4
-8.5
L
1
2
KC logo
KC@
W
20-17
+3
-1.5
W
3
3
LAR logo
LAR
W
33-26
+7
-3.5
W
1
4
TB logo
TB@
W
31-25
+6
-3.5
W
4
5
DEN logo
DEN
L
17-21
-4
-4.5
L
-15
6
NYG logo
NYG@
L
17-34
-17
-7.5
L
-39
7
MIN logo
MIN@
W
28-22
+6
-2.5
W
24
8
NYG logo
NYG
W
38-20
+18
-7.5
W
9
9BYE WEEK
10
GB logo
GB@
W
10-07
+3
+1
W
5
11
DET logo
DET
W
16-09
+7
-2.5
W
14
12
DAL logo
DAL@
L
21-24
-3
-3
L
1
13
CHI logo
CHI
L
15-24
-9
-7
L
-11
14
LAC logo
LAC@
L
19-22
-3
-1.5
L
-18
15
OAK logo
OAK
W
31-00
+31
-12.5
W
18
16
WAS logo
WAS@
W
29-18
+11
-7
W
8
17
BUF logo
BUF@
W
13-12
+1
+3
W
-97
18
WAS logo
WAS
L
17-24
-7
-3
L
43
19
SF logo
SF
L
19-23
-4
-5.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
15th
Sack EPA
-2.97
6th
Turnover EPA
-3.73
29th
Point Differential
+2.8
10th
Points For
22.1
19th
Points Against
19.3
6th
Total Yards
311.1
24th
Passing Yards
169.8
19th
Rushing Yards
118.3
16th
Total Yards Allowed
317.0
12th
Passing Allowed
177.5
15th
Rushing Allowed
121.8
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
24th
4th Down
54%
18th
Red Zone
70%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
22nd
4th Down
38%
3rd
Red Zone
54%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
1st
Created
1.3
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
1st
Created
0.8
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.5
14th