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  4. 2014
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
15947th
Point Diff / Game
+3.212th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04112th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
W
30-27
+3
-6
L
-13
2
BAL logo
BAL@
L
06-26
-20
+2.5
L
-34
3
CAR logo
CAR@
W
37-19
+18
+3.5
W
60
4
TB logo
TB
L
24-27
-3
-7
L
-53
5
JAX logo
JAX@
W
17-09
+8
-6
W
19
6
CLE logo
CLE@
L
10-31
-21
+1.5
L
-46
7
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-23
+7
-3
W
9
8
IND logo
IND
W
51-34
+17
+4.5
W
40
9
BAL logo
BAL
W
43-23
+20
-2.5
W
30
10
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
13-20
-7
-4.5
L
-14
11
TEN logo
TEN@
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
-10
12BYE WEEK
13
NO logo
NO
L
32-35
-3
-3.5
L
-8
14
CIN logo
CIN@
W
42-21
+21
+3
W
20
15
ATL logo
ATL@
W
27-20
+7
-3
W
44
16
KC logo
KC
W
20-12
+8
-2.5
W
3
17
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-17
+10
-3
W
7
18
BAL logo
BAL
L
17-30
-13
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.09
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
19th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.12
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
14th
Sack EPA
-3.39
9th
Turnover EPA
-5.56
21st
Point Differential
+3.2
12th
Points For
26.6
7th
Points Against
23.4
21st
Total Yards
410.1
2nd
Passing Yards
233.0
6th
Rushing Yards
107.1
17th
Total Yards Allowed
350.2
17th
Passing Allowed
209.2
22nd
Rushing Allowed
97.5
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
7th
4th Down
54%
10th
Red Zone
52%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
9th
4th Down
73%
32nd
Red Zone
55%
19th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
15th
Created
1.3
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
7th
Created
0.6
26th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
21st
Created
0.6
14th