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  4. 2015
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
16464th
Point Diff / Game
+5.57th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0957th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE@
L
21-28
-7
+7
P
5
2
SF logo
SF
W
43-18
+25
-6
W
26
3
LAR logo
LAR@
W
12-06
+6
+1
W
-108
4
BAL logo
BAL
L
20-23
-3
+3
P
-7
5
LAC logo
LAC@
W
24-20
+4
+4
W
20
6
ARI logo
ARI
W
25-13
+12
+6
W
-19
7
KC logo
KC@
L
13-23
-10
+3
L
160
8
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-16
-6
-20
9
OAK logo
OAK
W
38-35
+3
-6
L
-173
10
CLE logo
CLE
W
30-09
+21
-6.5
W
176
11BYE WEEK
12
SEA logo
SEA@
L
30-39
-9
+3
L
-4
13
IND logo
IND
W
45-10
+35
-9.5
W
31
14
CIN logo
CIN@
W
33-20
+13
+1
W
25
15
DEN logo
DEN
W
34-27
+7
-7.5
L
15
16
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-20
-3
-11.5
L
-24
17
CLE logo
CLE@
W
28-12
+16
-13
W
8
18
CIN logo
CIN@
W
18-16
+2
-2.5
L
-9
19
DEN logo
DEN@
L
16-23
-7
+7
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
7th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.16
3rd
Sack EPA
-3.67
9th
Turnover EPA
-6.37
16th
Point Differential
+5.5
7th
Points For
25.4
7th
Points Against
19.9
9th
Total Yards
394.9
3rd
Passing Yards
224.6
13th
Rushing Yards
109.8
14th
Total Yards Allowed
356.4
19th
Passing Allowed
247.6
30th
Rushing Allowed
92.2
5th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
24th
4th Down
33%
29th
Red Zone
57%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
15th
4th Down
31%
4th
Red Zone
49%
6th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
22nd
Created
1.9
2nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
29th
Created
1.0
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.9
2nd