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  4. 2023
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
156910th
Point Diff / Game
-1.921st
Net EPA / Play
-0.03622nd

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF
L
07-30
-23
+1
L
-17
2
CLE logo
CLE
W
26-22
+4
+2
W
-1
3
OAK logo
OAK@
W
23-18
+5
+3
W
13
4
HOU logo
HOU@
L
06-30
-24
-3
L
-24
5
BAL logo
BAL
W
17-10
+7
+4.5
W
8
6BYE WEEK
7
LAR logo
LAR@
W
24-17
+7
+3.5
W
12
8
JAX logo
JAX
L
10-20
-10
+2.5
L
-30
9
TEN logo
TEN
W
20-16
+4
-3
W
5
10
GB logo
GB
W
23-19
+4
-3
W
-0
11
CLE logo
CLE@
L
10-13
-3
+2.5
L
-13
12
CIN logo
CIN@
W
16-10
+6
-2
W
21
13
ARI logo
ARI
L
10-24
-14
-6.5
L
17
14
NE logo
NE
L
18-21
-3
-5.5
L
-22
15
IND logo
IND@
L
13-30
-17
+1
L
-46
16
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-11
+23
+3
W
19
17
SEA logo
SEA@
W
30-23
+7
+4.5
W
20
18
BAL logo
BAL@
W
17-10
+7
-3
W
71
19
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-31
-14
+10
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
20th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
10th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
18th
Sack EPA
-3.76
9th
Turnover EPA
-4.23
27th
Point Differential
-1.9
21st
Points For
17.8
28th
Points Against
19.7
8th
Total Yards
305.5
25th
Passing Yards
168.7
26th
Rushing Yards
117.6
11th
Total Yards Allowed
344.2
21st
Passing Allowed
207.9
23rd
Rushing Allowed
118.9
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
21st
4th Down
45%
25th
Red Zone
49%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
21st
4th Down
47%
11th
Red Zone
47%
6th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
3rd
Created
1.6
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
5th
Created
0.9
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.7
5th