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  4. 2024
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
153115th
Point Diff / Game
+1.114th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02713th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL@
W
18-10
+8
+4
W
8
2
DEN logo
DEN@
W
13-06
+7
-2.5
W
6
3
LAC logo
LAC
W
20-10
+10
-2.5
W
12
4
IND logo
IND@
L
24-27
-3
-2
L
0
5
DAL logo
DAL
L
17-20
-3
-2.5
L
-10
6
OAK logo
OAK@
W
32-13
+19
-3.5
W
36
7
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
37-15
+22
+2.5
W
16
8
NYG logo
NYG
W
26-18
+8
-6
W
-10
9BYE WEEK
10
WAS logo
WAS@
W
28-27
+1
+1.5
W
-9
11
BAL logo
BAL
W
18-16
+2
+3
W
-2
12
CLE logo
CLE@
L
19-24
-5
-3.5
L
-9
13
CIN logo
CIN@
W
44-38
+6
+3
W
21
14
CLE logo
CLE
W
27-14
+13
-6
W
6
15
PHI logo
PHI@
L
13-27
-14
+5.5
L
-23
16
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-34
-17
+7
L
-8
17
KC logo
KC
L
10-29
-19
+2
L
-15
18
CIN logo
CIN
L
17-19
-2
+2.5
W
-6
19
BAL logo
BAL@
L
14-28
-14
+9.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
28th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
13th
Sack EPA
-4.95
22nd
Turnover EPA
-2.96
30th
Point Differential
+1.1
14th
Points For
21.9
20th
Points Against
20.8
7th
Total Yards
317.2
23rd
Passing Yards
195.3
14th
Rushing Yards
121.9
12th
Total Yards Allowed
334.6
15th
Passing Allowed
206.9
23rd
Rushing Allowed
109.8
11th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
12th
4th Down
37%
31st
Red Zone
48%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
11th
4th Down
68%
28th
Red Zone
55%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
11th
Created
1.7
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
3rd
Created
0.9
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
31st
Created
0.7
4th