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  4. 2025
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-6
nfelo Rating
150317th
Point Diff / Game
-0.216th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01015th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
34-32
+2
-3
L
5
2
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-31
-14
-3.5
L
-24
3
NE logo
NE@
W
21-14
+7
-1.5
W
11
4
MIN logo
MIN
W
24-21
+3
+2.5
W
6
5BYE WEEK
6
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-09
+14
-6.5
W
13
7
CIN logo
CIN@
L
31-33
-2
-5.5
L
-3
8
GB logo
GB
L
25-35
-10
+3
L
-17
9
IND logo
IND
W
27-20
+7
+3
W
1
10
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-25
-15
+3
L
-18
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-12
+22
-5.5
W
-7
12
CHI logo
CHI@
L
28-31
-3
+3
P
33
13
BUF logo
BUF
L
07-26
-19
+3
L
-24
14
BAL logo
BAL@
W
27-22
+5
+5.5
W
17
15
MIA logo
MIA
12/15
-
-3.5
-
-
16
DET logo
DET@
12/21
-
-
-
17
CLE logo
CLE@
12/28
-
-
-
18
BAL logo
BAL
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
18th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
14th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
26th
Sack EPA
-3.16
8th
Turnover EPA
-3.80
25th
Point Differential
-0.2
16th
Points For
23.7
14th
Points Against
23.9
19th
Total Yards
284.6
27th
Passing Yards
125.6
32nd
Rushing Yards
89.2
29th
Total Yards Allowed
369.6
28th
Passing Allowed
207.0
29th
Rushing Allowed
125.3
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
14th
4th Down
46%
24th
Red Zone
64%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
27th
4th Down
75%
31st
Red Zone
52%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
11th
Created
1.8
2nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
14th
Created
0.8
10th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.9
1st