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  4. 2025
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
150414th
Point Diff / Game
-0.818th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01218th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
34-32
+2
-3
L
5
2
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-31
-14
-3.5
L
-28
3
NE logo
NE@
W
21-14
+7
-1.5
W
11
4
MIN logo
MIN
W
24-21
+3
+2.5
W
6
5BYE WEEK
6
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-09
+14
-6.5
W
13
7
CIN logo
CIN@
L
31-33
-2
-5.5
L
-3
8
GB logo
GB
L
25-35
-10
+3
L
-14
9
IND logo
IND
W
27-20
+7
+3
W
1
10
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-25
-15
+3
L
-18
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-12
+22
-5.5
W
-7
12
CHI logo
CHI@
L
28-31
-3
+3
P
33
13
BUF logo
BUF
L
07-26
-19
+3
L
-24
14
BAL logo
BAL@
W
27-22
+5
+5.5
W
17
15
MIA logo
MIA
W
28-15
+13
-3.5
W
13
16
DET logo
DET@
W
29-24
+5
+7.5
W
12
17
CLE logo
CLE@
L
06-13
-7
-3.5
L
-33
18
BAL logo
BAL
W
26-24
+2
+4.5
W
11
19
HOU logo
HOU
L
06-30
-24
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
18th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.00
11th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
16th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
23rd
Sack EPA
-3.86
18th
Turnover EPA
-3.81
27th
Point Differential
-0.8
18th
Points For
22.4
17th
Points Against
23.2
17th
Total Yards
298.5
26th
Passing Yards
147.1
29th
Rushing Yards
101.1
26th
Total Yards Allowed
360.0
27th
Passing Allowed
217.2
31st
Rushing Allowed
115.9
15th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
20th
4th Down
54%
18th
Red Zone
57%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
26th
4th Down
74%
31st
Red Zone
52%
6th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
7th
Created
1.7
4th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
8th
Created
0.9
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.8
2nd