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SF logo

San Francisco 49ers

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
148916th
Point Diff / Game
-0.917th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01818th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI
L
20-24
-4
+7.5
W
-46
2
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
31-13
+18
-7
W
-34
3
NYG logo
NYG@
W
36-09
+27
-3
W
23
4
PHI logo
PHI
L
20-25
-5
-8
L
49
5
MIA logo
MIA
L
17-43
-26
-8
L
-29
6
LAR logo
LAR
W
24-16
+8
+2.5
W
21
7
NE logo
NE@
W
33-06
+27
+3
W
15
8
SEA logo
SEA@
L
27-37
-10
+1
L
-48
9
GB logo
GB
L
17-34
-17
+6
L
-25
10
NO logo
NO@
L
13-27
-14
+9.5
L
-34
11BYE WEEK
12
LAR logo
LAR@
W
23-20
+3
+5
W
11
13
BUF logo
BUF
L
24-34
-10
-1.5
L
2
14
WAS logo
WAS
L
15-23
-8
-3
L
-13
15
DAL logo
DAL@
L
33-41
-8
-4
L
-9
16
ARI logo
ARI@
W
20-12
+8
+6
W
14
17
SEA logo
SEA
L
23-26
-3
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.06
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
11th
Sack EPA
-5.48
27th
Turnover EPA
-8.49
2nd
Point Differential
-0.9
17th
Points For
23.5
21st
Points Against
24.4
17th
Total Yards
370.3
14th
Passing Yards
215.7
13th
Rushing Yards
118.1
15th
Total Yards Allowed
314.5
4th
Passing Allowed
195.7
12th
Rushing Allowed
106.4
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
23rd
4th Down
40%
28th
Red Zone
67%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
3rd
4th Down
65%
25th
Red Zone
58%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
30th
Created
1.4
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
30th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.6
6th