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TB logo

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-6
nfelo Rating
147016th
Point Diff / Game
+1.414th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02914th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
W
17-14
+3
-3
P
-1
2
CAR logo
CAR@
W
20-07
+13
+4
W
19
3
PIT logo
PIT
L
13-38
-25
+2.5
L
-14
4BYE WEEK
5
CIN logo
CIN@
W
24-21
+3
+6.5
W
16
6
NO logo
NO
L
06-31
-25
+5.5
L
-24
7
LAR logo
LAR
W
18-17
+1
-3
L
-17
8
ARI logo
ARI@
W
38-35
+3
+3
W
14
9
ATL logo
ATL@
L
21-27
-6
+10
W
7
10
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-16
+15
-7
W
45
11
SF logo
SF@
W
21-00
+21
+3.5
W
20
12
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-17
-7
+7.5
W
31
13
ATL logo
ATL
L
24-28
-4
+3
L
-9
14
WAS logo
WAS@
W
17-16
+1
-1
P
-5
15
DET logo
DET
L
20-23
-3
-4
L
-31
16
SEA logo
SEA
W
38-15
+23
-5.5
W
22
17
NO logo
NO@
W
23-13
+10
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
9th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.00
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
24th
Sack EPA
-2.71
7th
Turnover EPA
-5.31
24th
Point Differential
+1.4
14th
Points For
21.3
20th
Points Against
19.9
7th
Total Yards
335.3
18th
Passing Yards
188.8
17th
Rushing Yards
125.2
8th
Total Yards Allowed
332.9
15th
Passing Allowed
102.0
1st
Rushing Allowed
131.8
28th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
8th
4th Down
71%
1st
Red Zone
52%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
30th
4th Down
53%
21st
Red Zone
54%
19th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
2nd
Created
1.9
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
2nd
Created
1.2
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
19th
Created
0.7
14th