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TB logo

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
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    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
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  • Hedge Calculator
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-14
nfelo Rating
132130th
Point Diff / Game
-8.328th
Net EPA / Play
-0.15229th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR
L
14-20
-6
-4.5
L
-13
2
LAR logo
LAR
L
17-19
-2
-4.5
L
-23
3
ATL logo
ATL@
L
14-56
-42
+6.5
L
-123
4
PIT logo
PIT@
W
27-24
+3
+7
W
64
5
NO logo
NO@
L
31-37
-6
+11
W
14
6
BAL logo
BAL
L
17-48
-31
+3
L
-11
7BYE WEEK
8
MIN logo
MIN
L
13-19
-6
-1.5
L
-13
9
CLE logo
CLE@
L
17-22
-5
+7
W
63
10
ATL logo
ATL
L
17-27
-10
+3
L
-22
11
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-07
+20
+7
W
17
12
CHI logo
CHI@
L
13-21
-8
+4.5
L
-14
13
CIN logo
CIN
L
13-14
-1
+6
W
-12
14
DET logo
DET@
L
17-34
-17
+10.5
L
-19
15
CAR logo
CAR@
L
17-19
-2
+3.5
W
-24
16
GB logo
GB
L
03-20
-17
+12
L
-37
17
NO logo
NO
L
20-23
-3
+6
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.14
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
25th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.14
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
7th
Sack EPA
-4.96
26th
Turnover EPA
-8.25
6th
Point Differential
-8.3
28th
Points For
17.3
29th
Points Against
25.6
25th
Total Yards
292.0
30th
Passing Yards
206.1
14th
Rushing Yards
85.9
29th
Total Yards Allowed
369.1
24th
Passing Allowed
213.1
24th
Rushing Allowed
113.7
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
25th
4th Down
33%
29th
Red Zone
53%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
27th
4th Down
56%
24th
Red Zone
62%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
30th
Created
1.6
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
31st
Created
0.9
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
22nd
Created
0.7
10th