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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2011 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
148621st
Point Diff / Game
+0.517th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00716th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX@
L
14-16
-2
-1
L
5
2
BAL logo
BAL
W
26-13
+13
+5.5
W
22
3
DEN logo
DEN
W
17-14
+3
-7
L
2
4
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-13
+18
+1.5
W
26
5
PIT logo
PIT@
L
17-38
-21
+3.5
L
-14
6BYE WEEK
7
HOU logo
HOU
L
07-41
-34
-2.5
L
-25
8
IND logo
IND
W
27-10
+17
-7.5
W
15
9
CIN logo
CIN
L
17-24
-7
-2.5
L
-12
10
CAR logo
CAR@
W
30-03
+27
+3.5
W
13
11
ATL logo
ATL@
L
17-23
-6
+6
P
-8
12
TB logo
TB
W
23-17
+6
-3
W
-6
13
BUF logo
BUF@
W
23-17
+6
+1
W
23
14
NO logo
NO
L
17-22
-5
+3.5
L
-6
15
IND logo
IND@
L
13-27
-14
-6.5
L
-13
16
JAX logo
JAX
W
23-17
+6
-8
L
-1
17
HOU logo
HOU@
W
23-22
+1
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
28th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
13th
Sack EPA
-2.78
6th
Turnover EPA
-6.11
19th
Point Differential
+0.5
17th
Points For
20.3
22nd
Points Against
19.8
8th
Total Yards
335.1
17th
Passing Yards
209.1
11th
Rushing Yards
89.9
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
355.1
18th
Passing Allowed
183.4
13th
Rushing Allowed
128.3
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
19th
4th Down
71%
1st
Red Zone
59%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
23rd
4th Down
40%
12th
Red Zone
48%
10th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
8th
Created
1.4
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
13th
Created
0.7
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
12th
Created
0.8
4th