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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2012 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
136627th
Point Diff / Game
-8.828th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16128th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE
L
13-34
-21
+5
L
-13
2
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-38
-28
+6.5
L
-19
3
DET logo
DET
W
44-41
+3
+4
W
14
4
HOU logo
HOU@
L
14-38
-24
+13
L
-73
5
MIN logo
MIN@
L
07-30
-23
+6
L
-24
6
PIT logo
PIT
W
26-23
+3
+6
W
10
7
BUF logo
BUF@
W
35-34
+1
+4.5
W
26
8
IND logo
IND
L
13-19
-6
-3
L
-5
9
CHI logo
CHI
L
20-51
-31
+5
L
-14
10
MIA logo
MIA@
W
37-03
+34
+7
W
14
11BYE WEEK
12
JAX logo
JAX@
L
19-24
-5
-3.5
L
-12
13
HOU logo
HOU
L
10-24
-14
+7
L
-14
14
IND logo
IND@
L
23-27
-4
+3.5
L
6
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
14-10
+4
+1
W
-1
16
GB logo
GB@
L
07-55
-48
+10.5
L
-27
17
JAX logo
JAX
W
38-20
+18
-6
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
23rd
EPA / Rush
+0.02
28th
Sack EPA
-4.28
24th
Turnover EPA
-7.73
8th
Point Differential
-8.8
28th
Points For
20.6
23rd
Points Against
29.4
32nd
Total Yards
313.3
26th
Passing Yards
173.3
25th
Rushing Yards
105.4
21st
Total Yards Allowed
375.1
25th
Passing Allowed
222.3
27th
Rushing Allowed
127.2
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
15th
4th Down
33%
27th
Red Zone
50%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
22nd
4th Down
43%
9th
Red Zone
64%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
24th
Created
1.5
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
18th
Created
1.2
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
23rd
Created
0.3
31st