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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
151615th
Point Diff / Game
-2.316th
Net EPA / Play
-0.04516th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK
L
16-26
-10
-2.5
L
-6
2
JAX logo
JAX@
W
37-16
+21
-1.5
W
18
3
SEA logo
SEA
W
33-27
+6
-2.5
W
17
4
HOU logo
HOU@
L
14-57
-43
-2.5
L
-158
5
MIA logo
MIA@
L
10-16
-6
+1
L
146
6
IND logo
IND
W
36-22
+14
-7
W
8
7
CLE logo
CLE@
W
12-09
+3
-6
L
-11
8BYE WEEK
9
BAL logo
BAL
W
23-20
+3
-3
P
-5
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
24-20
+4
-4.5
L
-6
11
PIT logo
PIT@
L
17-40
-23
+7
L
-21
12
IND logo
IND@
W
20-16
+4
-3
W
7
13
HOU logo
HOU
W
24-13
+11
-7
W
11
14
ARI logo
ARI@
L
07-12
-5
-3
L
-19
15
SF logo
SF@
L
23-25
-2
+2.5
W
3
16
LAR logo
LAR
L
23-27
-4
+6
W
-5
17
JAX logo
JAX
W
15-10
+5
-2.5
W
29
18
KC logo
KC@
W
22-21
+1
+9
W
12
19
NE logo
NE@
L
14-35
-21
+13.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
18th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
10th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.06
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.17
2nd
Sack EPA
-3.95
16th
Turnover EPA
-7.00
7th
Point Differential
-2.3
16th
Points For
20.6
20th
Points Against
22.9
19th
Total Yards
316.6
21st
Passing Yards
177.2
23rd
Rushing Yards
116.7
9th
Total Yards Allowed
334.4
15th
Passing Allowed
227.3
29th
Rushing Allowed
88.3
4th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
22nd
4th Down
54%
8th
Red Zone
53%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
18th
4th Down
59%
26th
Red Zone
55%
17th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
23rd
Created
1.2
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
26th
Created
0.7
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
11th
Created
0.6
17th