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  1. nfelo...
  2. weeks...
  3. 2016

2016 NFL Season

Season overview with top teams, quarterback leaders, and weekly performance stats.

Top Teams

1st
NE logo
Patriots
1748
17-2nfelo
2nd
ATL logo
Falcons
1720
13-6nfelo
3rd
KC logo
Chiefs
1645
12-5nfelo

Top QBs

1st
Matt Ryan headshot
M.Ryan
+203.0
5072Y • 38TD • 9TOEPA
2nd
Aaron Rodgers headshot
A.Rodgers
+179.6
4814Y • 44TD • 10TOEPA
3rd
Tom Brady headshot
T.Brady
+156.1
3628Y • 28TD • 2TOEPA

Weekly Results

Wk. 1
16
Games
3
Bets
-1.2
Open
+0.9
Close
Wk. 2
16
Games
6
Bets
+3.9
Open
+5.0
Close
Wk. 3
16
Games
7
Bets
+4.9
Open
+5.0
Close
Wk. 4
15
Games
8
Bets
-0.4
Open
+0.9
Close
Wk. 5
14
Games
2
Bets
-0.1
Open
+1.8
Close
Wk. 6
15
Games
2
Bets
+2.0
Open
+2.0
Close
Wk. 7
15
Games
0
Bets
--
Open
-0.2
Close
Wk. 8
13
Games
0
Bets
--
Open
-1.1
Close
Wk. 9
13
Games
3
Bets
-3.3
Open
-4.4
Close
Wk. 10
14
Games
2
Bets
-0.1
Open
+0.9
Close
Wk. 11
14
Games
3
Bets
+0.9
Open
-3.3
Close
Wk. 12
16
Games
4
Bets
-2.3
Open
-1.2
Close
Wk. 13
15
Games
3
Bets
+3.0
Open
+3.0
Close
Wk. 14
16
Games
6
Bets
-0.3
Open
+0.8
Close
Wk. 15
16
Games
4
Bets
-2.3
Open
-1.3
Close
Wk. 16
16
Games
3
Bets
+0.9
Open
+0.8
Close
Wk. 17
16
Games
6
Bets
+1.8
Open
+1.7
Close
Wk. 18
4
Games
2
Bets
+2.0
Open
-0.1
Close
Wk. 19
4
Games
2
Bets
-0.1
Open
-1.2
Close
Wk. 20
2
Games
1
Bets
+1.0
Open
--
Close
Wk. 21
1
Games
0
Bets
--
Open
--
Close
nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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