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  1. nfelo...
  2. weeks...
  3. 2017

2017 NFL Season

Season overview with top teams, quarterback leaders, and weekly performance stats.

Top Teams

1st
NE logo
Patriots
1696
15-4nfelo
2nd
MIN logo
Vikings
1679
14-4nfelo
3rd
NO logo
Saints
1616
12-6nfelo

Top QBs

1st
Tom Brady headshot
T.Brady
+175.2
4616Y • 32TD • 10TOEPA
2nd
Carson Wentz headshot
C.Wentz
+135.2
3601Y • 33TD • 9TOEPA
3rd
Philip Rivers headshot
P.Rivers
+131.7
4528Y • 28TD • 11TOEPA

Weekly Results

Wk. 1
15
Games
3
Bets
+0.9
Open
+0.8
Close
Wk. 2
16
Games
2
Bets
+2.0
Open
+4.0
Close
Wk. 3
16
Games
4
Bets
+1.9
Open
+1.9
Close
Wk. 4
16
Games
5
Bets
-1.3
Open
+0.7
Close
Wk. 5
14
Games
3
Bets
+3.0
Open
+1.9
Close
Wk. 6
14
Games
3
Bets
+0.9
Open
+3.0
Close
Wk. 7
15
Games
4
Bets
-0.2
Open
-0.1
Close
Wk. 8
13
Games
3
Bets
+0.9
Open
-1.2
Close
Wk. 9
13
Games
4
Bets
-4.4
Open
-1.3
Close
Wk. 10
14
Games
5
Bets
+0.8
Open
+1.9
Close
Wk. 11
14
Games
3
Bets
+3.0
Open
-1.3
Close
Wk. 12
16
Games
5
Bets
+0.8
Open
+3.0
Close
Wk. 13
16
Games
1
Bets
+1.0
Open
-3.4
Close
Wk. 14
16
Games
3
Bets
-1.2
Open
+2.0
Close
Wk. 15
16
Games
1
Bets
-1.1
Open
-2.2
Close
Wk. 16
16
Games
5
Bets
-1.3
Open
+0.8
Close
Wk. 17
16
Games
8
Bets
+3.8
Open
-3.6
Close
Wk. 18
4
Games
1
Bets
+1.0
Open
+1.0
Close
Wk. 19
4
Games
1
Bets
+1.0
Open
+1.0
Close
Wk. 20
2
Games
1
Bets
-1.1
Open
-1.1
Close
Wk. 21
1
Games
0
Bets
--
Open
--
Close
nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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