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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. 49ers @ buccaneers week 11, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SF logo
SF49ers
1-8
3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
77°F
8 mph
35
TBBuccaneers
3-6
TB logo
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
77°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
0
0
3
0
3
Buccaneers
7
14
7
1
29

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Buccaneers logo
Total Yards
197
352
Total Plays
59
58
Yards / Play
3.3
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.39
+0.14
Passing Yards
125
193
Comp/Att
15/31(48%)
15/21(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
9.2
EPA / Pass
-0.61
+0.37
Rushing Yards
72
159
Rush Attempts
23
35
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Buccaneers logo
1st Downs
13
19
Passing 1st downs
5
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
8%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Buccaneers logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.94
-9.49
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-22
-17
Sack EPA
-8.85
-2.94
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
50
Penalty EPA
-2.87
-4.74

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
49ers logo
Buccaneers logo

Total

Points / Game
30
9
Yards / Game
26
4
Passing Yards / Game
14
1
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19

EPA

EPA / Play
30
8
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
30
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
9
Interceptions / Game
25
17
Fumbles / Game
31
16
Turnover EPA / Game
2
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
11
4th Down Efficiency
1
10
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Buccaneers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Buccaneers logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
23
32
Yards / Game
22
24
Passing Yards / Game
6
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
21

EPA

EPA / Play
25
24
EPA / Pass
16
28
EPA / Rush
32
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
21
29
Fumbles / Game
29
16
Turnover EPA / Game
3
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
23
4th Down Efficiency
3
26
RZ Efficiency
15
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/27
-7
L
L
P
09/12
-2
L
W
P
09/19
-3
L
W
P
09/26
-34
L
L
P
10/03
-10
L
L
P
10/10
3
W
W
P
10/17
-8
L
W
P
10/31
-10
L
L
P
11/07
-15
L
L
P
11/14
-10
L
L
P
TB logo

Buccaneers

3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/28
-20
L
L
P
09/12
-6
L
L
P
09/19
-4
L
L
P
09/26
-10
L
L
P
10/03
-3
L
P
P
10/10
3
W
W
P
10/18
-7
L
L
P
10/24
12
W
W
P
11/07
3
W
W
P
11/14
-10
L
L
P