nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. 49ers @ eagles week 19, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SF logo
SF49ers
12-5
+4.5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
0
-4.5
PHIEagles
11-6
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model57.1%
Spread Pick
SF logo
49ers+4.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+18.0%
Cover Probability
61.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-4
Home nfelo
1,573
Away nfelo
1,588
Home Field
+28.6
Base HFA
+44.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-15.9
Net QB Adjustment
-16.7
Home QB Adjustment
-1.1
Away QB Adjustment
+15.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
49.4
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

B. Purdy headshot

B. Purdy

Proj. Value
+2.2
Team Elo Adj
+15.6
Value
Ptile
12/30
7.0
90
09/07
2.3
67
09/28
-0.3
48
11/16
2.8
72
11/24
-3.8
25
11/30
2.5
68
12/14
7.5
93
12/22
8.5
96
12/28
10.6
98
01/03
-4.3
22
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-1.1
Value
Ptile
10/19
4.8
83
10/26
1.9
64
11/10
1.1
58
11/16
-1.4
40
11/23
8.1
94
11/28
2.4
67
12/08
-8.9
3
12/14
5.7
88
12/20
2.5
68
12/28
-4.0
24

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Eagles Defense
49ers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
10
5
Yards / Game
8
13
Passing Yards / Game
3
13
Rushing Yards / Game
24
22

EPA

EPA / Play
7
10
EPA / Pass
7
5
EPA / Rush
21
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
20
Interceptions / Game
27
15
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
21
4th Down Efficiency
12
4
RZ Efficiency
5
9
Eagles Offense vs 49ers Defense
Eagles logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
19
13
Yards / Game
24
20
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
11

EPA

EPA / Play
19
20
EPA / Pass
13
25
EPA / Rush
16
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
27
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
24
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
19
4th Down Efficiency
19
16
RZ Efficiency
1
12

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/26
-11
L
L
U
11/02
10
W
W
O
11/09
-16
L
L
O
11/16
19
W
W
O
11/24
11
W
W
U
11/30
18
W
W
U
12/14
13
W
W
O
12/22
21
W
W
O
12/28
4
W
W
O
01/03
-10
L
L
U
PHI logo

Eagles

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/26
18
W
W
O
11/10
3
W
W
U
11/16
7
W
W
U
11/23
-3
L
L
U
11/28
-9
L
L
U
12/08
-3
L
L
U
12/14
31
W
W
U
12/20
11
W
W
O
12/28
1
W
W
U
01/04
-7
L
L
O