SF49ers
2-13
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
32°F
2 mph
21
NEPatriots
13-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
32°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
7
0
0
0
7
Patriots
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
318
405
Total Plays
65
63
Yards / Play
4.9
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.02
Passing Yards
183
231
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.21
Rushing Yards
135
174
Rush Attempts
35
28
Yards / Rush
3.9
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.37
+0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
16
7
Red Zone %
25%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-7.44
-14.01
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-5
Sack EPA
-0.85
-3.77
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
64
37
Penalty EPA
-5.15
-4.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
2
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
14
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
5
EPA
EPA / Play
30
9
EPA / Pass
28
8
EPA / Rush
30
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
28
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
31
2
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
22
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
26
3
Patriots Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
32
Yards / Game
9
24
Passing Yards / Game
12
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21
EPA
EPA / Play
4
24
EPA / Pass
5
28
EPA / Rush
10
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
6
29
Fumbles / Game
20
16
Turnover EPA / Game
28
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
23
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
7
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U