SF49ers
11-4
37
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
034
OAKRaiders
6-9
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
49ers
7
7
7
13
3
37
Raiders
10
7
7
10
0
34
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
500
Total Plays
62
66
Yards / Play
7.3
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.18
Rushing Yards
170
135
Rush Attempts
27
32
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
29
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
8
10
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.85
-13.60
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
71
49
Penalty EPA
-9.38
-12.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model74.5%
Spread Pick
Raiders+10.0
Expected Value
+15.2%
Cover Probability
57.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-140
Home nfelo
1,493
Away nfelo
1,681
Home Field
+41.7
Base HFA
+41.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+6.4
Home QB Adjustment
-84.6
Away QB Adjustment
-90.9
Market Regression
-66.2
Final Difference
-186.1
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
B. Purdy
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
-90.9
Value
Ptile
J. Stidham
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-84.6
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
26
Yards / Game
6
27
Passing Yards / Game
27
5
Rushing Yards / Game
7
19
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
2
30
EPA / Rush
23
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
25
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
26
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
29
20
RZ Efficiency
19
31
Raiders Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
1
Yards / Game
12
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
19
Rushing Yards / Game
17
2
EPA
EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
14
2
EPA / Rush
13
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
27
Interceptions / Game
28
2
Fumbles / Game
1
19
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
13
4th Down Efficiency
9
16
RZ Efficiency
26
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U