SF logo
SF
11-4
37
34
OAK
6-9
OAK logo
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
49ers
7
7
7
13
3
37
Raiders
10
7
7
10
0
34

Spread

OAK logo
+10

Total

OVER
41.5

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
454
500
Total Plays
62
66
Yards / Play
7.3
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.18
Rushing Yards
170
135
Rush Attempts
27
32
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
27
29
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
8
10
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.85
-13.60
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
71
49
Penalty EPA
-9.38
-12.70

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SFFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-7.5

Win Probability

Market80.1%
Model74.7%
Spread Pick
OAK logo
Raiders+10.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+15.2%
Cover Probability
57.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-144
Home nfelo
1,492
Away nfelo
1,685
Home Field
+41.7
Base HFA
+41.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+6.4
Home QB Adjustment
-84.6
Away QB Adjustment
-90.9
Market Regression
-68.3
Final Difference
-188.2
Model Spread
+7.5

Quarterbacks

B. Purdy headshot

B. Purdy

Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
-90.9
J. Stidham headshot

J. Stidham

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-84.6
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Raiders Defense
49ers logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
6
26
Yards / Game
6
27
Passing Yards / Game
27
5
Rushing Yards / Game
7
19

EPA

EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
2
30
EPA / Rush
23
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
25
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
26
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
29
20
RZ Efficiency
19
31
Raiders Offense vs 49ers Defense
Raiders logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
13
1
Yards / Game
12
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
19
Rushing Yards / Game
17
2

EPA

EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
14
2
EPA / Rush
13
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
27
Interceptions / Game
28
2
Fumbles / Game
1
19
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
13
4th Down Efficiency
9
16
RZ Efficiency
26
20