SF logo
SF
1-1
24
27
LAR
0-2
LAR logo
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
14
0
7
3
24
Rams
0
7
7
13
27

Spread

LAR logo
+6

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
425
296
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
6.5
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.21
Passing Yards
288
198
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
9.6
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.48
+0.11
Rushing Yards
137
98
Rush Attempts
34
26
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
55%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.09
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-23
Sack EPA
-3.09
-3.20
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
111
75
Penalty EPA
-9.42
-9.62

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SFFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market69.8%
Model66.9%
Spread Pick
LAR logo
Rams+6.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+0.2%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-84
Home nfelo
1,524
Away nfelo
1,645
Home Field
+42.1
Base HFA
+46.9
Divisional Adj
-21.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-5.2
Home QB Adjustment
-4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+1.2
Market Regression
+9.7
Final Difference
-122.0
Model Spread
+4.5

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Rams Defense
49ers logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
14
15
Yards / Game
4
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
28

EPA

EPA / Play
11
20
EPA / Pass
9
13
EPA / Rush
13
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
23
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
7
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
6
RZ Efficiency
14
4
Rams Offense vs 49ers Defense
Rams logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
19
29
Yards / Game
14
7
Passing Yards / Game
31
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
18

EPA

EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
12
14
EPA / Rush
27
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
21
Interceptions / Game
7
18
Fumbles / Game
11
19
Turnover EPA / Game
28
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
25
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
25
31