SF49ers
5-10
34
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
67°F
3 mph
13
LARRams
11-4
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
67°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
10
10
7
7
34
Rams
3
3
0
7
13
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
461
251
Total Plays
63
63
Yards / Play
7.3
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.25
-0.18
Passing Yards
--
149
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.43
Rushing Yards
169
102
Rush Attempts
30
26
Yards / Rush
5.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
15
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
80%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.59
-6.41
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-20
Sack EPA
--
-6.08
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-5.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
+6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model64.0%
Spread Pick
Rams+6.5
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+127
Home nfelo
1,599
Away nfelo
1,419
Home Field
+30.8
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-84.4
Home QB Adjustment
-52.7
Away QB Adjustment
+31.8
Market Regression
-255.5
Final Difference
-100.0
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+31.8
S. Mannion
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-52.7
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
12
Yards / Game
12
17
Passing Yards / Game
11
11
Rushing Yards / Game
20
27
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
17
5
EPA / Rush
9
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
24
Interceptions / Game
23
7
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
14
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
28
24
Rams Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
8
25
Passing Yards / Game
13
4
Rushing Yards / Game
7
22
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
7
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
1
25
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
22
32
RZ Efficiency
15
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U