SF49ers
4-1
27
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
035
NOSaints
5-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
7
10
7
3
27
Saints
7
3
3
22
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
422
Total Plays
64
66
Yards / Play
6.5
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.31
Passing Yards
--
243
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.29
Rushing Yards
143
179
Rush Attempts
25
29
Yards / Rush
5.7
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
27
Passing 1st downs
19
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
75%
71%
3rd Down Conversions
9
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.04
-4.91
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-3.59
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
42
--
Penalty EPA
-4.60
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
26
Yards / Game
8
27
Passing Yards / Game
27
27
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
6
19
EPA / Rush
5
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
13
Interceptions / Game
5
7
Fumbles / Game
8
1
Turnover EPA / Game
30
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
22
23
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
24
Yards / Game
18
16
Passing Yards / Game
10
12
Rushing Yards / Game
17
10
EPA
EPA / Play
13
28
EPA / Pass
19
28
EPA / Rush
12
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
29
Interceptions / Game
12
11
Fumbles / Game
15
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
32
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
13
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U