CHIBears
1-4
7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
80°F
7 mph
19
TBBuccaneers
1-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
80°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
7
0
7
Buccaneers
0
10
3
6
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
167
293
Total Plays
52
62
Yards / Play
3.2
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.10
Passing Yards
91
155
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.62
+0.08
Rushing Yards
76
138
Rush Attempts
20
37
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
17
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
23%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-8.08
-8.81
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-25
-8
Sack EPA
-6.57
-1.60
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
78
41
Penalty EPA
-3.44
-4.72
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
9
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
27
1
Rushing Yards / Game
26
19
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
32
4
EPA / Rush
29
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
9
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
30
16
Turnover EPA / Game
8
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
11
4th Down Efficiency
28
10
RZ Efficiency
32
8
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
12
Yards / Game
22
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
29
24
EPA
EPA / Play
25
3
EPA / Pass
16
6
EPA / Rush
32
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
1
Interceptions / Game
21
15
Fumbles / Game
29
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
3
3
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U