CHIBears
-
29
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
013
INDColts
-
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
6
1
7
21
Colts
3
3
7
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
293
Total Plays
62
66
Yards / Play
5.1
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.18
Passing Yards
136
240
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
30/49(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.15
Rushing Yards
183
53
Rush Attempts
39
15
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
63%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.22
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-14
-17
Sack EPA
-3.19
-2.29
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
60
40
Penalty EPA
-5.46
-3.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
7
Yards / Game
26
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
25
EPA
EPA / Play
25
21
EPA / Pass
27
9
EPA / Rush
27
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
29
Interceptions / Game
15
13
Fumbles / Game
29
8
Turnover EPA / Game
14
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
13
2
Colts Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
15
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
31
5
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
2
10
EPA / Rush
23
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
21
Interceptions / Game
6
3
Fumbles / Game
1
22
Turnover EPA / Game
31
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
6
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
1
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U