
CHIBears
-
TBD
FedExField
70°F
0WASCommanders
-

TBD
FedExField
70°F
0Model
Projected Winner

CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense


Total
Points / Game
12
18
Yards / Game
19
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
30
Rushing Yards / Game
24
14
EPA
EPA / Play
24
22
EPA / Pass
13
27
EPA / Rush
30
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
11
Interceptions / Game
9
24
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
15
16
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense


Total
Points / Game
8
25
Yards / Game
12
27
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
32
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
1
4th Down Efficiency
14
18
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Bears
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U

Commanders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U