CHIBears
3-4
22
TBD
FedExField
75°F
8 mph
48
WASCommanders
4-2
TBD
FedExField
75°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
14
8
22
Commanders
8
17
14
3
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
376
Total Plays
92
57
Yards / Play
4.9
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.26
Passing Yards
371
--
Comp/Att
36/62(58%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
--
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.12
Rushing Yards
76
164
Rush Attempts
27
24
Yards / Rush
2.8
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.50
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
52%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
12
3
3rd Down Attempts
23
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-24.25
-3.02
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-3.40
--
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
85
15
Penalty EPA
-6.28
-1.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
23
Yards / Game
8
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
24
Rushing Yards / Game
25
23
EPA
EPA / Play
27
26
EPA / Pass
17
16
EPA / Rush
26
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
25
Interceptions / Game
27
6
Fumbles / Game
29
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
18
23
RZ Efficiency
28
29
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
18
Yards / Game
3
30
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
5
24
EPA
EPA / Play
2
16
EPA / Pass
8
23
EPA / Rush
1
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
18
Interceptions / Game
10
23
Fumbles / Game
9
7
Turnover EPA / Game
26
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
28
4th Down Efficiency
13
1
RZ Efficiency
6
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-4
SU
5-1-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Commanders
4-2
SU
3-3
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U