CHIBears
10-3
20
TBD
FedExField
51°F
14 mph
15
WASCommanders
6-7
TBD
FedExField
51°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
3
7
0
10
20
Commanders
7
3
3
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
237
293
Total Plays
59
77
Yards / Play
4.0
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.10
Passing Yards
--
204
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
23/43(53%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.14
Rushing Yards
112
89
Rush Attempts
32
28
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
21%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
18
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-3.50
-4.42
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-32
Sack EPA
--
-9.57
Penalties
1
6
Penalty Yards
--
38
Penalty EPA
--
-6.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
27
10
Passing Yards / Game
30
9
Rushing Yards / Game
16
19
EPA
EPA / Play
18
11
EPA / Pass
23
9
EPA / Rush
15
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
17
Interceptions / Game
15
6
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
15
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
15
6
RZ Efficiency
18
6
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
28
14
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
8
2
EPA
EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
12
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
31
Interceptions / Game
4
9
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
9
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
25
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U